Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Carolina
Southern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#234
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#234
Pace67.4#172
Improvement+3.7#53

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#191
Improvement+5.6#10

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#274
Improvement-2.0#271
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 157   @ South Carolina L 50-75 21%     0 - 1 -20.8 -15.0 -8.7
  Nov 17, 2011 253   @ Presbyterian W 80-73 41%     1 - 1 +5.0 +9.0 -3.6
  Nov 20, 2011 27   @ Iowa St. L 60-92 5%     1 - 2 -17.1 -4.9 -13.1
  Nov 22, 2011 89   @ Northern Iowa L 39-59 11%     1 - 3 -11.1 -20.0 +4.3
  Nov 25, 2011 254   Northern Colorado L 57-74 55%     1 - 4 -22.6 -23.3 +0.9
  Nov 26, 2011 318   Florida A&M W 62-46 77%     2 - 4 +4.1 -13.6 +18.3
  Dec 01, 2011 279   @ Samford W 75-71 47%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +0.5 -1.4 +2.0
  Dec 03, 2011 284   UNC Greensboro W 73-69 72%     4 - 4 2 - 0 -6.5 -1.5 -4.8
  Dec 07, 2011 30   @ Purdue L 60-65 5%     4 - 5 +9.5 -8.9 +18.3
  Dec 10, 2011 116   Kent St. L 56-58 33%     4 - 6 -1.8 -14.8 +12.8
  Dec 20, 2011 256   @ Bradley W 68-67 42%     5 - 6 -1.2 -2.3 +1.1
  Dec 28, 2011 122   UNC Asheville W 86-67 35%     6 - 6 +18.7 +3.7 +13.8
  Dec 31, 2011 43   @ North Carolina St. L 55-82 7%     6 - 7 -14.6 -13.9 -0.3
  Jan 05, 2012 274   @ Chattanooga L 62-78 45%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -19.0 -8.3 -11.7
  Jan 07, 2012 199   Wofford W 67-57 54%     7 - 8 3 - 1 +4.7 -4.3 +9.6
  Jan 12, 2012 74   @ Davidson L 67-88 10%     7 - 9 3 - 2 -10.9 +0.2 -12.1
  Jan 14, 2012 238   Furman L 55-58 64%     7 - 10 3 - 3 -10.9 -14.3 +3.1
  Jan 21, 2012 255   @ Appalachian St. L 72-84 42%     7 - 11 3 - 4 -14.2 -5.9 -7.7
  Jan 26, 2012 261   Elon L 63-71 69%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -17.4 -18.8 +1.9
  Jan 28, 2012 284   @ UNC Greensboro L 86-89 OT 48%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -6.7 -7.6 +1.6
  Jan 30, 2012 199   @ Wofford L 56-82 29%     7 - 14 3 - 7 -24.5 -11.6 -14.9
  Feb 02, 2012 274   Chattanooga W 82-76 70%     8 - 14 4 - 7 -3.8 -0.2 -4.0
  Feb 04, 2012 237   Georgia Southern L 65-68 63%     8 - 15 4 - 8 -10.9 -5.7 -5.4
  Feb 09, 2012 168   @ College of Charleston L 58-62 23%     8 - 16 4 - 9 -0.7 -8.0 +6.9
  Feb 11, 2012 238   @ Furman L 66-80 38%     8 - 17 4 - 10 -15.1 -1.1 -15.1
  Feb 16, 2012 319   The Citadel W 70-53 85%     9 - 17 5 - 10 +1.5 -7.9 +9.8
  Feb 18, 2012 261   @ Elon W 78-76 OT 43%     10 - 17 6 - 10 -0.6 -1.1 +0.4
  Feb 23, 2012 279   Samford W 79-77 72%     11 - 17 7 - 10 -8.3 +11.1 -19.1
  Feb 25, 2012 255   Appalachian St. W 83-75 68%     12 - 17 8 - 10 -1.0 -3.4 +1.5
  Mar 02, 2012 319   The Citadel W 68-56 77%     13 - 17 -0.1 +3.4 -1.2
  Mar 03, 2012 199   Wofford W 82-59 41%     14 - 17 +21.1 +15.7 +7.4
  Mar 04, 2012 284   UNC Greensboro W 82-77 61%     15 - 17 -2.1 +2.7 -5.0
  Mar 05, 2012 74   Davidson L 91-93 2OT 15%     15 - 18 +4.7 +3.4 +1.7
Projected Record 15.0 - 18.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%